Numver 3 is crazy too because it’s putting people out of work even when it’s worse than them, the bubble bursting will have dire consequences and if it’s held together by corrupt injections of taxpayer money then it’ll still have awful consequences, and the whole point of AI doing our jobs was to free us from labour but instead the lack of jobs is only hurting people.
It is common for less good, but much cheaper tech to displace humans doing a job if it’s “good enough”. Dishwashing machines that sometimes leave debris on dishes are an example.
The technically competent people have long ofnet been led by people not technically competent, and have long been outcompeted by bullshit artists. LLM output is remarkably similar to bullshit artistry. One saving grace of the human bullshit artists is they at least usually understand they secretly have dependencies on actual competent people and while they will outcompete, they will at least try to keep the competent around, the LLM doesn’t have such concepts.
Ok, but I did specifically point out that AI is doing a worse job than those people. It’d be like replacing your dishwashing guy with chimp that go to shadow him for a bit before he was fired. Another analogy would be replacing a carpenter with a van full of his tools as if they could do the work on their own.
Yeah, but let’s say you had 12 guys hand scrubbing to keep up with the plates, but then you got a mediocre dishwashing machine that did a worse job scrubbing. You wouldn’t dismiss the machine because it was imperfect, you would say I need a dishwashing machine operator, who might have to do a quality check on the way out, or otherwise have whoever is plating put it in a stack for hand scrubbing, and lay off 11 of the guys.
So this could be the way out if AI worked ‘as advertised’. It however largely does not.
But then to the second point, it doesn’t even need to work as advertised if the business leader thinks it’s good enough and does the layoffs. They might end up having to scale back operations, but somehow it won’t be their fault.
Numver 3 is crazy too because it’s putting people out of work even when it’s worse than them, the bubble bursting will have dire consequences and if it’s held together by corrupt injections of taxpayer money then it’ll still have awful consequences, and the whole point of AI doing our jobs was to free us from labour but instead the lack of jobs is only hurting people.
For 3, there are two things:
It is common for less good, but much cheaper tech to displace humans doing a job if it’s “good enough”. Dishwashing machines that sometimes leave debris on dishes are an example.
The technically competent people have long ofnet been led by people not technically competent, and have long been outcompeted by bullshit artists. LLM output is remarkably similar to bullshit artistry. One saving grace of the human bullshit artists is they at least usually understand they secretly have dependencies on actual competent people and while they will outcompete, they will at least try to keep the competent around, the LLM doesn’t have such concepts.
Ok, but I did specifically point out that AI is doing a worse job than those people. It’d be like replacing your dishwashing guy with chimp that go to shadow him for a bit before he was fired. Another analogy would be replacing a carpenter with a van full of his tools as if they could do the work on their own.
Yeah, but let’s say you had 12 guys hand scrubbing to keep up with the plates, but then you got a mediocre dishwashing machine that did a worse job scrubbing. You wouldn’t dismiss the machine because it was imperfect, you would say I need a dishwashing machine operator, who might have to do a quality check on the way out, or otherwise have whoever is plating put it in a stack for hand scrubbing, and lay off 11 of the guys.
So this could be the way out if AI worked ‘as advertised’. It however largely does not.
But then to the second point, it doesn’t even need to work as advertised if the business leader thinks it’s good enough and does the layoffs. They might end up having to scale back operations, but somehow it won’t be their fault.