• ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
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    2 months ago

    They won the war and there’s nothing the west can do about it, so Russia doesn’t need to agree to any compromise. It’s not going to be a frozen war, the AFU is going to collapse, and once that happens Russia will likely hold referendums to have whatever oblasts want to join Russia do so. Then they’re going to leave a demilitarized rump western Ukraine as Europe’s problem. It’s going to need billions in funding just to keep it functioning, and if Europeans fail to deliver then they’re going to have a huge immigration crisis on their hands.

    • huf [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      2 months ago

      yeah, but 3 days after the western ukrainian rump state is demilitarized, the EU/US will restart the smuggling of weapons into ukraine and will aid ukronazis in doing terrorism in eastern ukraine, and then what? how does russia plan to stop the constant, unending gladio shit that’s coming, without the whole thing devolving back to where this started, but with the borders shifted.

      • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
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        2 months ago

        I don’t think it’s going to be that easy for EU/US to do in practice. You gotta keep in mind that there is a betrayal narrative already taking hold in Ukraine. A lot of these fascists also died fighting over the past three years. The remaining ones are going to hold as much a grudge against the west. Then there’s the fact that they’ve been funnelling weapons to cells in Europe this whole time. The way things are going in Europe, they might decide they have a better chance there. Russia also has a lot of experience dealing with this sort of stuff as can be seen recently in Chechnya. Majority of the population in Ukraine is tired of the war now, and even Ukrainian polls show they want the war to be over. There’s going to be very little appetite to be a NATO proxy going forward.