Three raccoons in a trench coat. I talk politics and furries.

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  • 30 Posts
  • 33 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 20th, 2023

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  • What’s the Y axis for the middle graph?

    That’s the percentage of kids who’ve reported some kind of sexual violence.

    Also only having 3 data points in such a brief window doesn’t really say much.

    I disagree because it’s not really just about these YRBS surveys, it’s the whole pattern. When we consider how conservatives are the only ones voting in favor of child marriage, and how pundits and randos on the internet will defend teen pregnancy, even if it was just one survey that showed a difference between red and blue states that would just be confirmation of a pattern that’s already pretty obvious, and we should seriously ask why their ideology leads to this kind of stuff, and how to remedy it. Even if it’s just a 2% point increase, this means that hundreds of thousands of children could be saved from abuse if conservatism was less prevalent.

    Finally the grouping metric of “won majority of presidential elections from 2000 to 2020” isn’t clear and isn’t necessarily reflexive of policy. A more appropriate metric might be the party of the governor or the majority parties of their chambers.

    There’s really no definitive metric for “red” vs. “blue” states, so while presidential election results will obviously reflect the politics of the people in that state, I do agree that it’s not a thorough measure - but this same pattern holds even when using other measures of political affiliation.

    I say this because I have some additional context here, as these graphs are part of an article I’m writing about the “pedocon” theory, and I can tell you that this same pattern shows up regardless of how we measure politics or CSA. Whether it’s polling on how many people identify as Republicans vs. Democrats, or liberals vs. conservatives, or left-wing vs. right-wing, this correlation is still there. Looking at governor or chambers specifically could be an interesting addition, but I fully expect the same pattern to hold.



  • First graph is all reported child sexual abuse cases that were substantiated. You can see the full tables in the ACF website, and in 2021 specifically there were 59,328 CSA cases in the U.S. that were substantiated.

    The percentage of kids who’ve officially reported sexual abuse actually seems to be decreasing considering not only the decrease you see in the graph (and it decreased further in 2022 to 59,044 cases), but also because in the Youth Risk Behavior Survey the percentage of teens who said they’ve experienced some kind of sexual violence increased from 9.7% in 2017 to 11% in 2021, and for rape specifically it went from 7.4% to 8.5%.








  • And social media websites that allow porn (Twitter, Reddit, Lemmy, Tumblr)

    Or just messaging apps where people send each other porn anyways (Whatsapp, Discord, Telegram)

    Horny teens have always found ways to get their hands on porn, even before the internet. Studies from the 80s and 90s found that the same percentage of boys had accessed porn as more recent studies where the internet has already become widespread:

    A study by Bryant [13] indicated that by the age of 15 years, 92% of boys had looked at or read Playboy, with average age of first exposure reported to be 11 years. Similarly, in regard to X-rated films, 92% of 13- to 15-years-olds reported that they had seen such a film. Most undergraduate men, when asked whether they have used sexual media in the past year, answer in the affirmative, although results vary between studies [14,15]. Studies in other cultures have found similar exposure patterns as in America. A recent study of 517 young men aged 18 to 27 years in Hong Kong indicated that 15.8 years was the average age of the first purchase of sexual media; just over half reported having used sexual media in the past 6 months [16]. The overall prevalence of having read, watched, or listened to sexual media in this sample was 91% (see Pan [17] for a lower prevalence estimate among Chinese young adults).