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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • I made a mistake. I typed lower case “liberal” when I should have typed upper case “Liberal.”

    You’re right that a rules-based global order would certainly have some liberal characteristics. What I’m saying is that a rules-based order does not have to be purely ideologically Liberal, as in strictly adhere to the tenets of Liberalism, in order to be a functioning rules-based order. In fact, I think it would be best if the order were ideologically secular, otherwise non-Liberal nations would be left out of the order, significantly reducing its effectiveness.


  • I guess the way I understood the original intent was that we were attempting to set up a bulwark against further expansion from European colonialism.

    That was the original intent. That is absolutely true. But the doctrine has evolved or expanded since. One major addition was the Roosevelt Corollary, right around the turn of the 20th century.

    The corollary states that the United States could intervene in the internal affairs of Latin American countries if they committed flagrant wrongdoings that “loosened the ties of civilized society.”

    Eventually, the “wrongdoings” came to include anything related to the “spread of communism.”

    I don’t think the average American citizen wants hemispheric domination.

    That’s probably true, but some Americans absolutely do want that, and many of those people are a part of Trump’s political coalition. This new enhanced version of the Roosevelt Corollary is sometimes called the “Donroe Doctrine” or the “Trump Corollary.”





  • We need a rules-based world order, but it doesn’t necessarily have to be Liberal. If the countries of the world decide that the rules-based order should be Liberal, fine, but if a majority of countries decide to embrace a different ideology, or decide to be ideologically secular, then so be it. The important thing is that the rules-based order be democratic. That’s what matters most.




  • The US has been increasing oil production like crazy for years now, even as most other oil producing countries have been slowing down production. Why has everyone else been slowing down? Because they don’t want to overproduce and drive down the price, especially since many are expecting oil demand to peak in the near future and begin to slowly decline as more and more countries diversify away from fossil fuels. I don’t know why the US wants to keep increasing production so much, but if we increase Venezuelan oil production significantly, we’ll just further drive down the price, reducing profits. That becomes even more true if global oil demand drops faster than expected, which is what should happen to minimize the impacts of climate change as much as possible.


  • we are still discovering (and “proving”) new oil reserves

    That’s true, but each new oil discovery is likely to be more expensive to extract than the last, and because it takes energy to extract oil, we have to consider the energy return on investment (EROI) of all future oil extraction. Once we get to the point where it requires a barrel of oil equivalent of energy to extract a barrel of oil out of the ground, the EROI drops to 1:1 and there’s no profit to be made, from an energy standpoint, regardless of price. Oil discovery in the US has decreased from an EROI of 1000:1 in 1919 to about 5:1 in the 2010s.

    No matter how you look at it, the world has just got to stop using oil wherever physically possible.