• 9 Posts
  • 42 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 11th, 2023

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  • Why the water isn’t killing the fire?

    Could be anything from sodium to calcium carbide to fluorine. :) Sodium makes hydrogen with water, carbide makes acetylene with water, and flouride just oxidizes water by grabbing hydrogen away from oxygen.

    If the character’s plan is to try fascism next, I think they’re into fairly agressive substances. :P


  • While the article takes no solid position about the benefits and harms of alleviating global warming with solar geoengineering, it does correctly point out that discussion and governance of the subject is lacking.

    Some hypothetical examples:

    Case A:

    • a coastal country experiences increased storm surges, a large percentage of its population stands at risk, it perceives climate change as an existential risk
    • this country decides to engage in solar geoengieering to cool the planet, however its neigbours on higher ground don’t perceive a risk from warming, instead they fear that wind patterns could change and deprive them of rainfall
    • they accuse each other of violating each other’s rights, start a trade dispute and eventually make war

    Case B:

    • lots of people are convinced that efforts to control climate change by reducing carbon output have failed
    • they decide to go for solar geoengineering, but the predicted impact on food production is -10%
    • this affects the poorest of people most adversely, but there is no compensation mechanism
    • cooling the planet succeeds, but results in outbreaks of famine

    Case C:

    • lots of people are convinced that efforts to reduce emissions have failed
    • solar geoengineering allows to cool the planet to pre-industrial levels
    • does incentive to reduce emissions disappear now?
    • if the cooling effect is terminated, extremely fast warming may now happen

    Myself, I perceive this as a last resort. If reasonable measures don’t save the day, this is one of the less reasonable measures that could buy time. I would like people to research this, so that capability would exist. But I would not be easily convinced of the necessity of taking action, as long as alternatives remain.


  • Summary:

    • lies come out when mouth opens
    • mentally unstable
    • past of criminal behaviour
    • incapable of seeking or adhering to expert advise
    • needs adult help in diplomacy

    I keep wondering why he seems to have any chance at all. Guesses:

    • he seems to have access to considerable campaign money, due to oligarchs funding him (broken campaign finance laws)
    • he has taken hostage the right-leaning electorate since they have no alternatives (majoritarian electoral system forcing a two-party landscape)
    • some saw the exchange value of their labour disappear (and foolishly think the extreme right might help)
    • some saw life change, can’t adapt (and foolishly think that reactionary politics would help them)
    • some have graduated without any skill of political thought, because nobody taught them
    • some live in social media bubbles

    Obviously, society is not well. A healthy society should be able to recognize a confidence artist trying to con them.




  • I mean sure, if you’re at such extreme latitudes that you have months of total darkness, then solar will have a problem there. Maybe small modular reactors make sense for those niche applications.

    Currently, solar still makes economic sense, but from April to October. Lots of it was built rather fast, now the adoption is slowing since the grid can’t accept it everywhere.

    Consequently, summer is when oil shale miners rest and prepare for the next season.

    Since the goal is to get rid of mining oil shale, big plans exist to install a lot of wind power. Sadly, this has gone embarrassingly slow, and it cannot cover winter consumption, and there is not enough storage.

    As a result, some companies and building out storage, but only enough to last a few hours.

    …and in the next country southwards, there is a huge gas reservoir that could accept methane, enough to last the whole winter, but nobody has a good enough handle on methanation to renewably produce a considerable quantity and store it there. :o

    With regard to reactors, it seems likely that getting one would take 10 years and the local country here doesn’t even have legislation built out for nuclear power. They’re drafting it. Starting from zero is quite slow.



  • Since 2021, nearly 4 full years, the world has closed less than 1% of active coal power plants.

    Closing will come later, when alternatives are widely available. What renewable energy does currently - at least here - is forcing those plants temporarily out of the market, especially during summer months and windy weather. The plants will exist and stay ready in case of need for well over a decade, maybe even two - but they will start up ever more rarely.

    Technically, the deal is: we don’t have seasonal energy storage. Short term storage is being built - enough to stabilize the grid for a cold windless hour, then a day, then a week… that’s about as far as one can go with batteries and pumped hydro.

    To really get the goods one has to add seasonal storage or on-demand nuclear generation. The bad news is that technologies for seasonal storage aren’t fully mature yet, while nuclear is expensive and slow to build. There’s electrolysis and methanation, there’s iron reduction, there are flow batteries of various sorts, there’s seasonal thermal storage already (a quarter step in the right direction)…

    …but getting the mixture right takes time. Instead of looking at the number of closed plants, one should look at the sum of emissions. To remain hopeful, the sum should stop growing very soon.




  • Guy seems to be a walking disaster.

    No matter whether he intends what he says or not, that’s definitely not how a presidential candidate should behave. If one wants to govern a country (as opposed to running it into ground), at the minimum one should not be ridiculous.

    Last time, I recall, it took him a fairly long weaseling to use the border guard a bit, here and there. I don’t think the US military is eager to do his bidding, or cheerful about being drawn into his campaign.

    Over here, in a different country on a whole different continent, the previous (now retired) commander of the defense forces had a habit of providing fact corrections when politicians lied, spinned or bluffed about defense. For a reason which didn’t need a detective to figure out, only conservative populists ended up on his shit list. :)

    One of the conservative populists took being corrected so personally that he got into a social media confrontation with the general right before elections. Politologists later estimated that it was not beneficial at all to the politician involved. :)




  • The proliferation of a new technology typically doesn’t start from poor people.

    It starts from fanatics first. I built my first EV. It was crap, I cut it apart and sold the metal (environmental footprint: awful). Then I built my second EV. It drove around 10 000 km, but had to be retired due to metal fatigue (enviromental footprint: neutral at best, lesson learned: big).

    I bought my third EV on a crashed vehicle auction. New front axle, stretching the frame back to correct dimensions… I drive it every day, but it’s a crap car that I’d not recommend to my worst enemy. :) Environmental footprint: positive, I can produce fuel for myself from April to October. But if the same vehicle would be used by someone who doesn’t produce (or buy) renewable power, the footprint would be less positive.

    Anticipating the demise of my factory-made electric microcar, I am however building another EV. Again the footprint is negative, but I need information about how to easily manufacture one, and obtaining information has a cost in resources. :(

    Meanwhile, of course, truly rich folks buy fancy and electronics-laden self-driving EVs which some then proceed to crash or mishandle due to lack of clue. People are like that and it will stick out in statistics.

    IMHO: if they hadn’t bought an EV, they’d have bought another kind of status symbol and would have used it even more wastefully. What matters more is what the average person can and will do. And how do we influence the auto makers to produce less resource-intensive vehicles?


  • I have a solar panel that died. A piece or plywood flung by a storm went right through it, leaving a 30 cm “wound”.

    Well, to be honest, it’s alive, just weaker - the panel remains suitable for pumping water on the field during muddy season. I wouldn’t take a good panel to such a bad place, but this panel, I have no worries about.

    As for what happens when they really, really die - they get disassembled. The aluminum frame gets taken off and goes into metal recycling. Junction boxes go to where plastic goes - not a nice place. The glass and doped silicon go into a crushing mill, after which they get separated. The glass is easy to recycle, but the doped silicon is difficult to refine again to such a purity, so it likely won’t become a solar panel. But it’s a very small fraction of the panel’s mass.