It is critical that climate changes beyond net zero are well understood to inform policymaking. Here we present a new estimate of post-abrupt net zero CO2 temperature changes using a method that filters for variability on multiple timescales. Our findings indicate that 50 years after abrupt emission cessation, the multi-model median temperature change is −0.19 °C, with a range spanning from −0.44 °C to 0.04 °C, which is cooler than previous estimates.
As long as we haven’t already hit any of the important tipping points that cause runaway effects of their own, right? (Eg methane clathrates, minimum albedo, etc)
As long as we haven’t already hit any of the important tipping points that cause runaway effects of their own, right? (Eg methane clathrates, minimum albedo, etc)